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HomeAQA GCSE StatisticsProbability: Combined Events
AQA · GCSE · Statistics · Revision Notes

Probability: Combined Events

132 words · Last updated July 2026

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What you'll learn

How to find probabilities involving two or more events.

Key rules

  • Mutually exclusive events cannot happen together: P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B).
  • Independent events do not affect each other: P(A and B) = P(A) × P(B).
  • General AND = multiply along tree branches; OR = add the relevant outcomes.

Tree diagrams

  • Branches from each node sum to 1.
  • Multiply along branches for combined outcomes; add outcomes for 'or'.
  • For without replacement, the second set of probabilities changes (conditional).

Exam tips

  • Read carefully whether events are with or without replacement.
  • Label tree diagrams fully with probabilities.

Common mistakes

  • Adding when you should multiply (and vice versa).
  • Forgetting probabilities change in 'without replacement' problems.
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